Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 23, 7:43 AM UTCJan 1, 23, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JLR become Jose Luis Ricon's epithet, and commonly referred to name?
Manifold MarketsIs Jose Luis Ricon HOT?
Manifold MarketsIS JOSE LUIS RICON A PARROT
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRules
If God exists, intervenes, and arranges it for Jose, that counts
Open markets
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Total Vol
- $65.6M
- 24h Vol
- $11.6K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Total Vol
- $12.2K
- 24h Vol
- $11.1K
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $137.2K
- 24h Vol
- $5
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $784
- 24h Vol
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Total Vol
- $3.6
- 24h Vol
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Yes55.3%
- No44.7%
- Total Vol
- $3.2K
- 24h Vol
- —
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage? resolve?
- Will Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2223.
- How is Will Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If God exists, intervenes, and arranges it for Jose, that counts