Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 68.6%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 26, 24, 12:10 PM UTCJan 1, 23, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JLR become Jose Luis Ricon's epithet, and commonly referred to name?
Manifold MarketsWill Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage?
Manifold MarketsIS JOSE LUIS RICON A PARROT
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6447.1%
- 65-89+2.0pt27.4%
- <40-3.0pt15.7%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.6K
- 24h Vol
- $21K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Total Vol
- $12.2K
- 24h Vol
- $11.1K
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Total Vol
- $9.7K
- 24h Vol
- $1.7K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-3.0pt8%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Total Vol
- $16.3K
- 24h Vol
- $615.7
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
- Will Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Is Jose Luis Ricon HOT??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Is Jose Luis Ricon HOT? resolve?
- Is Jose Luis Ricon HOT? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2223.