Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 87.8%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleDec 15, 24, 12:39 AM UTCJan 1, 23, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JLR become Jose Luis Ricon's epithet, and commonly referred to name?
Manifold MarketsWill Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage?
Manifold MarketsIs Jose Luis Ricon HOT?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6447.1%
- 65-89+2.0pt27.4%
- <40-3.0pt15.7%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.6K
- 24h Vol
- $21K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Total Vol
- $12.2K
- 24h Vol
- $11.1K
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Total Vol
- $9.7K
- 24h Vol
- $1.7K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-3.0pt8%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Total Vol
- $16.3K
- 24h Vol
- $615.7
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
- Will Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for IS JOSE LUIS RICON A PARROT?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does IS JOSE LUIS RICON A PARROT resolve?
- IS JOSE LUIS RICON A PARROT is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2223.