Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?
One-OffTech4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.7%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 29, 23, 6:09 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Inspired by this GCP Grey video.
- Resolves YES if, by the close date, there are at least two intersections in the United States where it regularly happens that in the space of 12 seconds, at least 4 self-driving cars can and do legally go straight through the intersection in alternating order:
- First one car along one street,
- then another car along the other street,
- then another car along the first street again,
- then another car along the second again.
Open markets
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- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $724.5K
- 24h Vol
- $674.2K
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- New Orleans+46.0pt99%
- Houston+61.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+3.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $483.2K
- 24h Vol
- $482.8K
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+23 more outcomes
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- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030? resolve?
- Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Inspired by this GCP Grey video.