Will India be the most common non-Australia country of birth in the next Australian census?
One-OffSociety & Culture1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 71.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleFeb 27, 24, 12:09 PM UTCOct 10, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Australia holds a census every 5 Years.
- If the next-most common country of birth (BPLP) amongst respondents in the 2026 Australian Census after Australia is India, this question will resolve YES.
- For reference,
- in the 2011 census, people who responded India as their country of birth were 1.4% of the population with 295,362 people,
- in the 2016 census, India was 1.9% of the population with 455,385 people, and
- in the 2021 census, India was 2.6% of the population with 673,352 people.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will India be the most common non-Australia country of birth in the next Australian census??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 72% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will India be the most common non-Australia country of birth in the next Australian census? resolve?
- Will India be the most common non-Australia country of birth in the next Australian census? is scheduled to resolve on October 10, 2027.
- How is Will India be the most common non-Australia country of birth in the next Australian census? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Australia holds a census every 5 Years.