Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.3%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleTrends
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KalshiRules
This question resolves YES if, at some time in the next few millenia, I am extremely confident to be immortal: (1) won't expect to die, and (2) won't expect entropy to be an issue in 10**100 years, etc.
- Quantum immortality doesn't count.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): On the definition of "I" (identity) for resolution:
- No requirement for physical continuity or continuity of experience/psychology
- Continuity of values and memories and smoothness of self are important
