Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?
One-OffSociety & Culture2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.7%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 6:58 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur:
- Someone and I each provide a probability estimate regarding our intent to pursue a long-term maximally serious relationship
- Both estimates are given within a ~2 week window of each other
- The mean of the two estimates is ≥40%
- Estimates can be verbal or written but must be deliberate (not offhand).
- Only needs to occur once; reversions or breakups afterward don't change the resolution.
