Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 90.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleDec 18, 24, 2:13 PM UTCJan 10, 34, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if the trend indicator on Google Trends (or strong evidence with the closest equivalent / best available proxy for this question) exceeds the level it was at in November 2006, before January 1st 2034.
- Here is the current indication on Google Trends as of December 18th 2024 (worldwide / 2004-present):