Current community forecast
Yes 68.1%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 47 minutes ago
LaggingApr 17, 24, 3:54 PM UTCFeb 24, 29, 9:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.
- Here is the graph for the past few years form IEA.
- China alone grew around 565 Mt. China's growth was greater than the rest of the world's decrease but some think it may be close to peak.
- Q1 2024 numbers may even point at a decrease.
- Will 2028 emissions be lower than 2027?
- This market will resolves based on IEA's numbers when released based on the actual change in CO2 emissions between the two years, no matter what extraordinary event (like COVID) may happen each year.