Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
42.2 billion tonnes 63%Leader of 25 outcomes
42.2 billion tonnes 63%Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.8 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 13, 24, 9:11 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?
Manifold MarketsGlobal CO2 Emissions in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 24, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)?
KalshiRules
This market predicts the total global CO2 emissions for 2025, including emissions from fossil fuels, industry and land-use changes.
- It will resolve based on the data presented in this graph from Our World in Data, rounded to one decimal place.
- The figures presented by Our World in Data are derived from the Global Carbon Budget dataset.
- Final data for 2025 are expected to be published in November 2026.
- If necessary, I will add new answers to ensure there are always at least 10 answers above and below the one with the highest odds.
- For comparison, the same market for the year after and the year before: