Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
41.5 billion tonnes 18.6%-2.9ptLeader of 22 outcomes
41.5 billion tonnes 18.6%-2.9ptForecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.9 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 16, 24, 12:33 PM UTCNov 30, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 41,000 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market predicts the total global CO2 emissions for 2026, including emissions from fossil fuels, industry and land-use changes.
- It will resolve based on the data presented in this graph from Our World in Data, rounded to one decimal place.
- The figures presented by Our World in Data are derived from the Global Carbon Budget dataset.
- Final data for 2026 are expected to be published in 2027.
- If necessary, I will add new answers to ensure there are always at least 10 answers above and below the one with the highest odds.
- For comparison, the same market for the year before:
