Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 10:53 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord announce meeting vanlife girl before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Daniel Lord initiates at least one livestream on his main YouTube channel "Hiding in my room" (or any alternative channel verified to be his) between September 5, 2026 (00:00 UTC) and September 11, 2026 (23:59 UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Verification sources:
- Primary YouTube Channel: Hiding in my room (or any active channel he redirects to).
- Subreddits: r/HIMRFAM2 and r/HIMRFAM.
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026? resolve?
- Will Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Will Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria