What are the current odds for Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62.4% as of October 26, 2026.

Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?

TechOne-Off5d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 62.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Stale

Aug 22, 26, 11:03 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that Daniel Lord (YouTuber of Hiding In My Room) is primarily living and sleeping in a Tesla vehicle as of October 31, 2026.
The market resolves to NO if he has moved into a traditional residence (such as an apartment, house, or room), is primarily living in a different vehicle (e.g., a non-Tesla van or camper), or is otherwise no longer living in a Tesla.
Rules & Edge Cases:
"Living in a Tesla" is defined as utilizing a Tesla vehicle as his primary overnight sleeping accommodation.
Temporary stays (such as visiting family or staying in a hotel/Airbnb for less than a week) will not trigger a "NO" resolution as long as the Tesla remains his primary residence.