Current community forecast
No 55.7%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 7, 24, 4:45 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves Yes if a Major Source confirms the samples brought back by Chang'e-6 suggest there are economically viable amounts of any rare earth elements.
- lanthanum (La), cerium (Ce), praseodymium (Pr), neodymium (Nd), promethium (Pm), samarium (Sm), europium (Eu), gadolinium (Gd), terbium (Tb), dysprosium (Dy), holmium (Ho), erbium (Er), thulium (Tm), ytterbium (Yb), lutetium (Lu), scandium (Sc), and yttrium (Y)
- Example of "major source"
- Agencies: NASA, CSA, ESA, ISRO, CNSA, JAXA
- Companies: SpaceX, Blue Origin, Virgin Galatic, Rocket Lab
- Publications: Nature, Science, Astronomy & Astrophysics, The Astrophysical Journal
