Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 86.8%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleApr 15, 26, 8:35 AM UTCApr 30, 28, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWill Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
PolymarketClavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
PolymarketRules
[image]Aziz Sergeyevich Shavershian (aka Zyzz) died 22 years and 134 days old on 5 August 2011.
- Braden Eric Peters (aka Clavicular) was born on 17 December 2005.
- On 30 April 2028 he will be 22 years and 135 days old if he is still alive.
- Resolves YES if Clavicular is still alive on 30 April 2028.
- Resolves NO if he dies before then.
Open markets
Society & Culture
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds65%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9K
- 24h Vol
- $7.2K
KALSHIWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Total Vol
- $12.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- Rice84%
- UCLA79%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.3K
- 24h Vol
- $298
FORECASTEXWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Total Vol
- $219
- 24h Vol
- $219
KALSHIUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Significant decrease+4.0pt60.4%
- No significant difference-11.0pt28.7%
- Significant increase+6.2pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $58.8K
KALSHIWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Total Vol
- $1.8K
- 24h Vol
- $200
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- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? resolve?
- Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2028.
- How is Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [image]Aziz Sergeyevich Shavershian (aka Zyzz) died 22 years and 134 days old on 5 August 2011.