Will China restrict exports of ruthenium on December 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will China restrict exports of ruthenium on December 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87.4% as of November 1, 2026.

When does Will China restrict exports of ruthenium on December 31, 2026? resolve?

Will China restrict exports of ruthenium on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will China restrict exports of ruthenium on December 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary unwrought or powder ruthenium under the iridium, osmium, and ruthenium tariff family HS 711041 and 711049.

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24h Vol

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KALSHI

Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?

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POLYMARKET

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POLYMARKET

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24h Vol

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+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

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+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$18.5M

24h Vol

$30K

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