Will China restrict exports of heavy water on December 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will China restrict exports of heavy water on December 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 92.7% as of November 1, 2026.

When does Will China restrict exports of heavy water on December 31, 2026? resolve?

Will China restrict exports of heavy water on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will China restrict exports of heavy water on December 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering reactor use heavy water above 200 kg of deuterium per recipient per calendar year and a deuterium to hydrogen ratio above 1:5000, HS 2845100000.

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KALSHI

US gas prices this week

• Above 4.1500+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 4.100099.5%
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+21 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$401.8K

KALSHI

Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?

• Above 2.5098.5%
• Above 2.6098.5%
• Above 2.7098.5%

POLYMARKET

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?

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• ↑ $105+0.5pt90%
• ↑ $110+2.0pt70%

+17 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

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• December 31-1.0pt14%
• November 30-3.0pt9%

+7 more outcomes

Total Vol

$20.9M

24h Vol

$38.7K

POLYMARKET

US imports Russian diesel by which date?

• March 31-1.0pt70%
• January 31+1.0pt66%
• December 31+1.5pt60%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• D+1.1pt73%
• R+0.1pt28%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$967K

24h Vol

$20K

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