Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 78.9% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026? resolve?

Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China MOFCOM formally extends the europium export control tactical pause past November 10, 2026.

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