Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 3500 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
CommoditiesOne-OffChina5mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 2:29 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceeds 3500 USD/t on March 31, 2027.
- What is being measured: Battery-grade coated spherical graphite (≥99.95% C, D50 ~15–20μm) spot price in China's domestic market, in USD/t.
- YES if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price ≥ 3500 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027 NO if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price < 3500 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Asian Metal spherical graphite price (asianmetal.com)
- Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) spherical graphite price (smm.cn)
