Current community forecast
No 82%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 30, 23, 2:59 AM UTCJan 1, 35, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which month will Starship HLS land on the Moon?
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PolymarketRules
Update 2025-10-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market does not refer to a lander based on Blue Moon Mk 1.
Open markets
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+3 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
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+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
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- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ? resolve?
- Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.
- How is Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2025-10-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market does not refer to a lander based on Blue Moon Mk 1.