Current community forecast
Yes 91.6%
Forecasters
54
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingMay 6, 24, 3:39 PM UTCJun 10, 29, 3:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What organization will be the first to land a human on Mars?
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PolymarketWill SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
KalshiRules
Will resolve YES if they successfully launch a mission to the moon and land a living human on it.
- Will also resolve YES if a joint-partner with NASA or another space agency.