Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?
RegulationOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.1%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Oct 27, 24, 5:26 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing Ben Shapiro (political commentator, lawyer) has been indicted or criminally charged by police, or sued by the SEC (or similar).
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2040.
- Question is global -- criminal charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, or if they are found not guilty.
- Lawsuits generally do not count unless they come from a governing body such as the SEC.
- Examples include wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft, and falsifying business records.
