Will at least 200 Tesla Cybercabs be registered for public robotaxi service by December 31, 2026?
TechOne-OffManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 2:11 PM
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Background (all figures as of mid September 2026): Tesla launched its purpose built Cybercab (two seats, no steering wheel, no pedals) in Austin, Texas on September 3, 2026, with 45 Cybercabs registered in Texas DMV autonomous vehicle records.
- That count stood at 49 as of September 8, 2026.
- Cybercab rides are currently offered in Austin only, and Tesla's Robotaxi support page says Cybercab will serve additional areas "in the future" without naming a city or a date.
- At the launch event Tesla did not name a second Cybercab city, did not give an expansion calendar, and did not disclose a volume production or consumer sale date.
- On September 3, 2026, NHTSA opened Audit Query AQ26002 into Tesla's self certification that the Cybercab meets Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards, with an estimated affected population of about 1,000 Cybercabs.
- This market takes no position on whether any of that is good or bad.