Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?
DogecoinOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsLatin America2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.3%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 9, 24, 1:00 AM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
According to The EconoTimes:
- Speaker of the House Mike Johnson has voiced his support for Elon Musk’s ambitious proposal to restructure the U.S. government by reducing its federal agencies from 428 to just 99.
- The bold plan is part of a new initiative spearheaded by Musk and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy under the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE), a key component of former President Donald Trump’s policy agenda for his new administration.
- The most comprehensive list of U.S. government agencies is published by USA.gov.
- As of December 8th, 2024, they list 419 unique agencies, which is close to Johnson's stated number.
- This question will resolve to YES if at most 328 government agencies are active by the end of Trump's term on January 20th, 2029.