What are the current odds for Will artificial gravity be generated by spinning in space before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 70.4% as of October 27, 2026.

Will artificial gravity be generated by spinning in space before 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 70.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Jun 3, 23, 12:59 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 9:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

For the purpose of the market, I will count only human-sized gravity intentionally generated for at least 24 hours.

Update 2025-27-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Intention Criteria:
Methods not primarily intended to generate gravity (e.g., dragon heat roll for heat management) do not count.
Duration Criteria:
Gravity must be generated for 24+ hours straight to meet the duration requirement.