Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 10:10 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiWill Apple release a new product line before 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
KalshiWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves 'Yes' if a foldable phone designed and sold by Apple is available to purchase by consumers in North America before January 1st, 2028.
- (Pre-orders would not count.)