Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?
EntertainmentOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
55
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 23, 10:55 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
For TV series, there needs to be at least one season based on a book by Sanderson.
- The first episode of that particular season must be released before January 2027.
Open markets
Entertainment
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- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
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- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
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- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
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- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
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+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027? resolve?
- Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: For TV series, there needs to be at least one season based on a book by Sanderson.