KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Louis Partridge 7%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$291
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 8:52 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If the named outcome is cast in Amazon Prime Video’s television adaptation of Holly Black’s The Folk of the Air series before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
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- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
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- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
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- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
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- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
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- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for The Folk of the Air TV Series: Cast?
- Kalshi prices Louis Partridge at 7% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does The Folk of the Air TV Series: Cast resolve?
- The Folk of the Air TV Series: Cast is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is The Folk of the Air TV Series: Cast settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is cast in Amazon Prime Video’s television adaptation of Holly Black’s The Folk of the Air series before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.