Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (95.1%)
Resolved: Oct 10, 2026, 3:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Manifold MarketsRules
https://x.com/F530Josh/status/1971420729032806499 something like this except in real life.
- Resolves when question closes (1 year).
- If I don't find/see something I think meets the description before then, I'll try and find something fitting the definition the day the question closes and resolve no if I don't find anything.
- Nobody has to get hurt, however atleast 1 person has to fall through a hole in the glass bridge within 10 seconds of boulder impact.
- A planned stunt would count.
- Glass bridge is defined as any transparent glass-like material spanning a gap which is atleast 10 feet above the ground/water.