Will 5% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
One-OffTech2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 1, 26, 5:19 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 1% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWhat % of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Gallup polls Americans monthly asking them "What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?"
- The list of answers is long and includes "the advancement of computers/technology", which polls below 1% and often below 0.5%.
- Late last year, however, technology polled at 1% (go to the 2nd page or click "get the data").
- [image][image]This question resolves YES if Gallup reports that 5% or more of Americans polled assign "the advancement of computers/technology" as the most important problem facing the United States in any month in 2026.
- Otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2027.
- Will AI, computers, and technology crack 5% in Gallup's polling before the end of 2026?
