Will 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
One-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 51.6%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJan 1, 26, 5:19 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Gallup polls Americans monthly asking them "What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?"
- The list of answers is long and includes "the advancement of computers/technology", which polls below 1% and often below 0.5%.
- Late last year, however, technology polled at 1% (go to the 2nd page or click "get the data").
- [image][image]This question resolves YES if Gallup reports that 2% or more of Americans polled assign "the advancement of computers/technology" as the most important problem facing the United States in any month in 2026.
- Otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2027.
- Will AI, computers, and technology crack 2% in Gallup's polling before the end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup? resolve?
- Will 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Gallup polls Americans monthly asking them "What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?"