Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of November 3, 2026.

When does Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3? resolve?

Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/at-least-15-starship-launches-to-execute-artemis-iii-lunar-landing/

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POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

• 380-399+66.0pt94.1%
• 400-419-29.1pt5.9%
• 420-439-14.7pt0%

+27 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.2M

24h Vol

$1.1M

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 3, 2026 at 12pm EST?

• $76,900 or above98.5%
• $76,800 or above99.5%
• $76,700 or above99.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 3, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $74,000 or above99.5%
• $75,250 or above98.5%
• $73,500 or above99.5%

KALSHI

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

• 30,000 to 30,499.999%
• 28,000 to 28,499.99+1.0pt5.5%
• 29,000 to 29,499.996.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+1.4pt52.6%
• Claude-7.6pt31.8%
• ChatGPT+1.8pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Nov 3, 2026?

• Dallas+15.0pt99.5%
• Miami+13.0pt99.5%
• San Antonio+7.0pt99.5%

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