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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1

One-OffPoliticsElection6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent) 93.5%
Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters

2

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale
Apr 13, 25, 3:51 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)94%

Rules

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for District 1.
  • If the election is not held, the market resolves N/A.
  • In the unlikely event of redistricting between now and the election, this market will follow District 1 even if the number of seats changes.
  • Eunisses Hernandez is the current representative for Los Angeles City Council District 1, having won the seat in 2022 by defeating incumbent Gil Cedillo.
  • She is a member of the Democratic Party and the Democratic Socialists of America, known for her progressive policies and activism.

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Rules

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for District 1.
  • If the election is not held, the market resolves N/A.
  • In the unlikely event of redistricting between now and the election, this market will follow District 1 even if the number of seats changes.
  • Eunisses Hernandez is the current representative for Los Angeles City Council District 1, having won the seat in 2022 by defeating incumbent Gil Cedillo.
  • She is a member of the Democratic Party and the Democratic Socialists of America, known for her progressive policies and activism.