Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (100%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 4:34 AM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecastSheila Cherfilus-McCormick 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 days ago
StaleApr 15, 26, 6:42 AMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Cory Mills0%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick100%
Ro Khanna0%
Ruben Gallego0%
Chuck edwards0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall82% match · auto | Low | 3% | — | $59.8 | $892.6 | 25 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 19 days ago |
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KALSHIRules
resolves same as https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleavehouse/who-will-leave-the-house/kxleavehouse-26apr
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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resolves same as https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleavehouse/who-will-leave-the-house/kxleavehouse-26apr