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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which will be the second of these things to happen in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Which will be the second of these things to happen in 2026?

PoliticsAIGeopolitics11d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
None of these will happen in 2026. 0.9%
Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters

24

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale
Apr 10, 26, 6:21 AMJun 30, 26, 9:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

None of these will happen in 2026.1%

Rules

This market will close on June 30th 2026! It will be resolved in due time according to the rules below!

Manifold Markets
  • (Markets 1-16 are Category 1 Markets.)
  • A Category 1 Market resolves NO if their event happens when all other Markets are unresolved and resolves YES if they happen when one other Market is resolved NO.
  • Market 17 will resolve NO on the 31.dec 2026 except if one other Market is resolved NO, then Market 17 resolves to YES on the 31.dec 2026.
  • Market 18 will resolve YES on the 31.dec 2026 except if Market 17 resolves to YES, then Market 18 resolves to NO on the 31.dec 2026.
  • ALL MARKETS INSTANTLY RESOLVE NO, AS SOON AS ANY MARKET RESOLVES YES.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,476.05-2.41%SolanaSOL$68.24-4.09%EthereumETH$1,690.43-2.93%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-2.85%BNBBNB$572.05-2.96%AvalancheAVAX$6.02-9.23%

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Rules

This market will close on June 30th 2026! It will be resolved in due time according to the rules below!

Manifold Markets
  • (Markets 1-16 are Category 1 Markets.)
  • A Category 1 Market resolves NO if their event happens when all other Markets are unresolved and resolves YES if they happen when one other Market is resolved NO.
  • Market 17 will resolve NO on the 31.dec 2026 except if one other Market is resolved NO, then Market 17 resolves to YES on the 31.dec 2026.
  • Market 18 will resolve YES on the 31.dec 2026 except if Market 17 resolves to YES, then Market 18 resolves to NO on the 31.dec 2026.
  • ALL MARKETS INSTANTLY RESOLVE NO, AS SOON AS ANY MARKET RESOLVES YES.