Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast200 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMay 28, 26, 1:01 AM UTCOct 28, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I lose my current job by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRules
At time of market creation, I have a 116 day streak in the Bunpro Japanese vocabulary and grammar app,, starting from the first time I used Bunpro.
- I currently intend to continue practising using it indefinitely.
- How many of the listed thresholds will it pass before it breaks? Answers resolve YES when the streak reaches the given number of days, e.g. 200 would be expected to resolve YES in 84 days if the streak is unbroken.
- All answers not already thus resolved YES resolve NO the first time a streak is broken.
- Use of vacation mode counts as breaking the streak, unless practice happens anyway or there is a site outage (see later)..
- Disruptive life events, accidents, etc preventing practice count as breaking the streak.
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $724.5K
- 24h Vol
- $674.2K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+46.0pt99%
- Houston+61.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+3.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $483.2K
- 24h Vol
- $482.8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.6%
- 160-179+4.0pt28.9%
- 200-219-3.0pt15.4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+26.0pt91%
- 65-89-14.0pt9%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BTC 15 min · $78,917.56 target
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach??
- Manifold Markets prices 200 at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? resolve?
- Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2028.
- How is Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: At time of market creation, I have a 116 day streak in the Bunpro Japanese vocabulary and grammar app,, starting from the first time I used Bunpro.