Which new cities will Waymo serve by June 30?
AIManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Nashville (100%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecastNashville 100%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleNov 11, 25, 5:00 PMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Dallas99.2%
Miami99%
Washington DC3.5%
Detroit3.4%
London1%
Denver3.2%
Las Vegas3%
Nashville100%
New York City1%
Palo Alto69.2%
99.2%
99%
3.5%
3.4%
1%
3.2%
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Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
14.6 ptsClosed
+3.1pt100%
+80.0pt100%
0%
+6 more outcomes
19 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$278K
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which cities will have Waymo One service by mid-2026?
Closed
100%
100%
99%
+19 more outcomes
Community forecast31 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolves to the cities that are available for the public to hail rides in by the end of June 30, 2026, that are not service areas as of Nov 11, 2025.
- For a city to resolve YES, ride hailing only needs to be available in part of the city, but must be available beyond a closed beta.
- This resolves by the metropolitan area, so an expansion into e.g.
- Berkeley would not count as a new city.
- The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c)
- @/Tetraspace/which-new-cities-will-waymo-serve-a
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolves to the cities that are available for the public to hail rides in by the end of June 30, 2026, that are not service areas as of Nov 11, 2025.
- For a city to resolve YES, ride hailing only needs to be available in part of the city, but must be available beyond a closed beta.
- This resolves by the metropolitan area, so an expansion into e.g.
- Berkeley would not count as a new city.
- The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c)
- @/Tetraspace/which-new-cities-will-waymo-serve-a