PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityMiami 100%+3.1ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
0.9% / 10.0%
Spread
9.1 pt
Wide spread7d Change
-8.6 pts
Market data
Updated 25 days ago
StaleNov 10, 25, 11:57 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Dallas0%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Miami
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Which new cities will Waymo serve by June 30?
Closed
Resolved
Nashville (100%)
100%
99.2%
99%
+7 more outcomes
Community forecast25 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which cities will have Waymo One service by mid-2026?
Closed
100%
100%
99%
+19 more outcomes
Community forecast31 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
- A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
- Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
- A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
- Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.