Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecastPalo Alto 100%Leader of 22 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 days ago
StaleMar 13, 25, 7:25 PMJul 1, 26, 6:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Palo Alto100%
Berkeley2.2%
Sausalito3%
San Diego2.1%
Washington, D.C.2.2%
New York City1%
Miami100%
Tokyo, Japan3.1%
Delhi, India1%
Shanghai, China1%
São Paulo, Brazil1%
Chicago3.6%
Mexico City, Mexico1%
Emeryville, California2.2%
Boston1.1%
London0.7%
Seattle4.9%
Dallas99%
Nashville99%
Las Vegas4.9%
Detroit3.5%
Houston99%
2.2%
3%
2.1%
2.2%
1%
3.1%
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Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
14.6 ptsClosed
+3.1pt100%
+80.0pt100%
0%
+6 more outcomes
19 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$278K
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which new cities will Waymo serve by June 30?
Closed
Resolved
Nashville (100%)
100%
99.2%
99%
+7 more outcomes
Community forecast25 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This question asks which cities it will be possible to hail a Waymo from on or before June 30, 2026.
- Being able to summon a Waymo from any point within the city limits will count.
- To elaborate on what counts as "possible to hail a Waymo": I'm not going to count a service that's only available to Waymo employees, but as long as it's possible for someone unaffiliated with Waymo to hail a ride, then that will count (even if there is a waitlist and not all members of the public are able to use the service to start).
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This question asks which cities it will be possible to hail a Waymo from on or before June 30, 2026.
- Being able to summon a Waymo from any point within the city limits will count.
- To elaborate on what counts as "possible to hail a Waymo": I'm not going to count a service that's only available to Waymo employees, but as long as it's possible for someone unaffiliated with Waymo to hail a ride, then that will count (even if there is a waitlist and not all members of the public are able to use the service to start).