Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 17, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 86.9%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleOct 10, 23, 1:39 PMDec 31, 28, 3:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes13%
Volume trend
$167Jul 134d of dataJul 17
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.