PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability180-199 14%+1.0%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$116.1K
Liquidity
$649.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 25, 26, 4:00 AMAug 4, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
180-19914%
Volume trend
$116.1kJul 252d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.