Current community forecast
Anthropic 30.6%+5.6ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.6 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 2:58 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Which organization's model will have the highest Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score on Epoch AI's ECI page on November 30, 2026?
- Resolution source: Epoch AI's ECI page (https://epoch.ai/eci) and the ECI scores file inside Epoch's downloadable benchmark data (https://epoch.ai/data/benchmark_data.zip, file epoch_capabilities_index/eci_scores.csv, column eci).
- I will check both on December 1, 2026 (UTC), using the data as published for November 30.
- If they disagree, the CSV wins.
- How it resolves: to the organization (the CSV's Organization column) of the single model with the highest ECI score.
- Any model counts — open or closed, any version — as long as Epoch lists it.