Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCerebras 100%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 26, 11:11 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
100%
100%
100%
Rules
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolves according to media reporting and official statements.
Prediction Source Comparison
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Cerebras at 100% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026? resolve?
- Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- Where else is Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.
