Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCerebras 100%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
28
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 26, 11:11 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolves according to media reporting and official statements.
