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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?
Manifold Markets

Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?

One-OffSpaceScience24y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Orbit 86%
Forecasters

7

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale
Dec 17, 25, 10:50 PMDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Orbit86%

Rules

Nameplate capacity, total across all users.

Manifold Markets
  • Best estimates -- if we can find a single source using consistent methods in advance, I may update to use that.
  • Moon is on the surface; orbit includes Lunar orbit.

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Rules

Nameplate capacity, total across all users.

Manifold Markets
  • Best estimates -- if we can find a single source using consistent methods in advance, I may update to use that.
  • Moon is on the surface; orbit includes Lunar orbit.