When will the total number of humans on Mars and its orbit reach 100 for the first time?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will the total number of humans on Mars and its orbit reach 100 for the first time??

Manifold Markets prices 2040s at 19.5% as of October 27, 2026.

When does When will the total number of humans on Mars and its orbit reach 100 for the first time? resolve?

When will the total number of humans on Mars and its orbit reach 100 for the first time? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.

How is When will the total number of humans on Mars and its orbit reach 100 for the first time? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves to the decade when, according to at least two credible sources, the total number of people being simultaneously on Mars or its orbit reaches 100 (all of them must be alive).

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+8.1pt97%
• Anthropic-5.4pt3%
• Alibaba0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.8M

24h Vol

$175.9K

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 8+2.0pt99.5%
• Above 9+2.0pt98.5%
• Above 699.5%

POLYMARKET

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

• No solution by Dec 31, 2027+10.0pt39.6%
• Hodge Conjecture-8.0pt22.9%
• Yang-Mills-3.0pt21.9%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google+4.5pt50.5%
• Anthropic-1.0pt45.5%
• OpenAI-0.1pt3%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-3.0pt64%
• 2026+4.5pt24%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$509.2K

24h Vol

$13.3K

POLYMARKET

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?

• December 31,+0.5pt64%
• June 30,+1.0pt52%
• February 28,+2.0pt31%

+4 more outcomes

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• When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
• Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
• How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
• How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
• SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?