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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

PoliticsOne-OffElectionEurope2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
2024
2024 0.3%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters

80

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Jul 10, 24, 9:36 AMMar 31, 29, 10:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

202676%

Rules

Keir Starmer is the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

Manifold Markets
  • The years since the Brexit referendum have been characterised by massive instability at the top of British politics.
  • First David Cameron resigned, then Theresa May called a snap election, lost her majority and was removed by her party.
  • She was replaced by Boris Johnson, but he struggled to keep Parliament running after he expelled a number of his own MPs and was forced to call a snap election himself.
  • He won a stable majority and people were predicting that he could stay on as Prime Minister for a decade...
  • But within two years he had been brought by scandal and his party replaced him with Liz Truss.

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Rules

Keir Starmer is the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

Manifold Markets
  • The years since the Brexit referendum have been characterised by massive instability at the top of British politics.
  • First David Cameron resigned, then Theresa May called a snap election, lost her majority and was removed by her party.
  • She was replaced by Boris Johnson, but he struggled to keep Parliament running after he expelled a number of his own MPs and was forced to call a snap election himself.
  • He won a stable majority and people were predicting that he could stay on as Prime Minister for a decade...
  • But within two years he had been brought by scandal and his party replaced him with Liz Truss.