Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2030 55.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 1, 25, 1:29 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:27 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available?
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PolymarketRules
The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.
- I will not be rushing to be the first to get one, but if circumstances require me to get one (e.g. if I have to have one to apply for a job) I will not avoid signing up.
- When will I receive my digital ID?
- As I should be relatively empowered in making this decision I will not be betting on this market.
- This market resolves YES for every outstanding year if I receive my digital ID.
- Otherwise each option will resolve NO on the 1st of January of the relevant year.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.8K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Total Vol
- $10.2K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
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- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.5K
- 24h Vol
- $487.1
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will I get my "BritCard" ID??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2030 at 56% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will I get my "BritCard" ID? resolve?
- When will I get my "BritCard" ID? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is When will I get my "BritCard" ID? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.