What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
One-OffTech2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 9:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastX / Twitter 35.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 23, 3:49 AM UTCJun 2, 29, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Dominance is defined by my best judgement of MAU's , or the best available metric.
- Note that the market will resolve to an ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE.
- In other words, it is NOT winner-take-all.
- Ie if X has 55% dominance, I want X to resolve to 55%.
- Friends have told me this is possible.
- If I find it is NOT possible to partially resolve a free response market, I will resolve it N/A.