What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
US Dollar (USD)* 65.1%Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
85
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 4, 24, 4:21 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
*Includes descendants/forks
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will be resolved based on the state of the global human economy on January 1st, 2040.
- The dominant unit will be determined by the total value of economic transactions denominated in the unit during the calendar year 2039, as measured by the most widely accepted economic metrics available in 2040.
- This includes all forms of trade, exchange, and value transfer involving at least one human party.
- If the dominant unit is pegged to another listed option (e.g., if a currency is backed by or formally pegged to gold, computation, energy, etc.), both the primary unit and its peg resolve as 'Yes.'