Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: >40% (98.5%)
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, 9:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecast>40% 98.5%+44.7ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleMay 6, 26, 10:10 AMJul 25, 26, 9:02 AM
Trends
98.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the highest recorded "almost resolved" on the official ProgramBench leaderboard (https://programbench.com/) as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- The answers are upper exclusive e.g. [0, 10).
